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Liberals projected to finish 3 seats short of a majority government

Canadian politician speaking at an event with a Canadian flag in the background, showcasing Toronto's vibrant political scene and notable speakers.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney addresses supporters at his campaign headquarters on election night in Ottawa, Tuesday, April 29, 2025. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Nathan Denette)

The Canadian Press decision desk is projecting Prime Minister Mark Carney will lead a minority Liberal government.

Elections Canada has nearly wrapped up counting all the ballots in what turned out to be a razor-close race that will leave the Liberals three seats short of winning a majority.

Just before 4 p.m. EDT, Elections Canada shows the Liberals projected to win 169 ridings.

The Conservatives trail with 144 seats and will form the official opposition, while the Bloc Québécois won 22 seats, the NDP won 7 and the Green Party was elected in one riding.

Recounts in some ridings are expected.

A majority government would allow the Liberals to pass legislation without the support of other parties. If the final result remains a minority, the Liberals would need help to stay in power. 

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Special ballots are cast by mail or at Elections Canada offices by voters who are away from their ridings during the election.

One of the seats that was too close to call was Pierre Poilievre’s. The Conservative leader was trailing his Liberal rival Bruce Fanjoy, who took to social media to declare victory.

“To all the people of Carleton, as your new member of Parliament, I’ll work to bring us together,” Fanjoy posted. “We are all Canadian.”

In his victory speech, Carney pledged to unite a divided country in the face of ongoing tensions with the United States. He promised to lead a government that represents all Canadians and said the country works when Canadians work together.

“Let’s put an end to the division and anger of the past,” Carney said. “We are all Canadian, and my government will work for and with everyone.”

Poilievre said during his speech that he would stay on as Conservative leader despite his party’s loss. He hushed some booing from the crowd when he congratulated Carney on his win.

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“No, no, we’ll have plenty of opportunity to debate and disagree. But tonight we come together as Canadians,” Poilievre said.

“We have to learn the lessons of tonight so that we can have an even better result the next time.” 

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh lost his Vancouver-area seat and announced he’d be resigning as party leader once the party selects an interim replacement.

“We may lose sometimes and those losses hurt,” Singh said, fighting emotion as he stood beside his wife on a stage in Burnaby, B.C.

“We’re only defeated when we believe … those that tell us that we can never dream of a better Canada, a fairer Canada, a more compassionate Canada.”

At least a dozen NDP MPs lost their seats, and preliminary results show it may be difficult for the party to maintain official party status — which gives a party access to research funding and more opportunities to ask questions during question period.

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With the election in the rear-view mirror, Carney is expected to meet soon with U.S. President Donald Trump. 

Carney held his first phone call with Trump during the first week of the election. The two agreed that they would immediately launch discussions on a new trade and security pact following the election.

Trump loomed large over the campaign with his tariff threats and calls for Canada to become a U.S. state. 

Article by Craig Lord.

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